RFI gap, recent form, and head-to-head
Close match: a 3-0 is possible, but no single score is likely
Last 5 matches: Chase Holowachuk 0-5, Phil Paolini 1-4. Compared with the ratings alone, that raises Phil Paolini's chance.
Head-to-head results move this toward Phil Paolini.
Total H2H: 2
| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Phil Won → | 11-9, 11-4, 11-8 |
| Feb 22, 2025 | ← Chase Won | 11-4, 11-9, 11-8 |